BasketDNA · Pre-game analysis
Predictions
See win probabilities and player numbers for upcoming matchups.
Validated historical performance · walk-forward OOS, 2022–23 to 2025–26
Pregame · all predictions
65.88% accuracy
100% coverage
High Confidence · selected predictions only
78.01% accuracy
27.24% coverage · Brier 0.1722
The 78.01% result applies only to historically selected high-confidence predictions, not to every game. Training data starts in 2017–18.